Haiti - Elections : 1.518 minutes excluded, two candidates concerned...
Following the postponement of the date of publication of the preliminary results of the second round Wildmack Matador explained that "Following the recommendations, we had an enhancement of the verification criteria that we apply to the tabulation center, because of this enhancement we were obliged to sent 15.200 minutes to the lawyers [Legal Control Unit], to verify their authenticity, to check if they do not have fraud. Our system has been heavily weighed down, and we must take the time to do this job [...] we do not that after having published the results, another Mission comes and that two months, three months after... we give the results of the 2nd round. What is most important for us is the integrity of the election, is the respect of the vote of the people. We are obliged to take our time to do an honest job, to be able to give reliable results, accurate results."
The Director of the CTV found that 1,518 minutes concerning the presidential election were excluded, noting that this decision of the Legal Control Unit is administrative and not judicial. The candidates or their duly authorized representatives may challenge the shelving of PV within 72 hours after the publication of the preliminary results and thus begin the legal process of challenge.
These 1,518 minutes represent 14% of 11,090 minutes received for the presidential election. A number that is lower than the number used by the candidates' parties in their accusation and their war of numbers reciprocal... It is necessary to remember that in the first round of the presidential, about 3,000 minutes had been shelved whose 1.045 for the only candidate Jude Célestin http://www.haitilibre.com/article-2282-haiti-elections-declaration-de-jude-celestin.html (in french)
The two candidates Mirlande Manigat and Michel Martelly will be allocated in proportions unknown to this day, of these frauds and irregularities, because we must not be blind, the fraudsters partisans of both parties, did not change their nature between the two rounds of elections and none of the two candidate, can without lie, declare itself free from fraud. To see this it is sufficient to consult the audits of the Mission of the OAS whose the criterias are the same as those used today, to see that Michel Martelly had 7.150 votes deleted and Mirlande Manigat 13.830 for fraud or irregularities http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-2104-haiti-elections-report-from-oas-today-a-new-ranking-of-candidates.html
It is impossible to estimate without knowing the distribution of minutes between the two candidates, the polling stations concerned and the result of contestations after the publication of the preliminary results of the the second round, the number of votes that will be subtracted from the vote and the influence this might have on results. It is reasonable to think that the increase of the voter turnout estimated by the CNO around 30% will compensate in quantity these votes. What will make the difference are the regions concerned by these minutes excluded combined with the voter turnout in these same regions.