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Haiti - Epidemic : Latest Assessment, an explosive situation
10/11/2010 13:52:25

Haiti - Epidemic : Latest Assessment, an explosive situation
The last official assessment of the Ministry of Health published yesterday but dated of November 7, showed 9.123 people infected with cholera and "hospitalized" and 607 deaths. That published today, which refers to November 8, indicates 9.971 hospitalized (+9.29% between November 7 and 8) and 643 deaths (+10.30%). For many reasons, inter alia the hierarchical delay in the report of the cases, the zones which were not evaluated yet, delays in the confirmation of cholera etc... these figures can not reflect the reality of the day.

From the information we have, it is reasonable to assume, as of today, the number of people with symptoms of cholera reported, could be between 12,000 and 15,000 reported cases and deaths between 845 and 1,050.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), approximately 75% of those infected with V. cholerae, have no symptoms, although the bacterium is present in their faeces for 7 to 14 days after infection and was eliminated in the environment where it can potentially infect other people. This could, from short-term projections, representing between 30,000 and 50,000 people carrying the disease (no symptoms) with the capacity to transmit cholera to others.

For those who develop symptoms, they remain mild to moderate in 80% of cases, while in approximately 20% of cases, acute watery diarrhea, accompanied by severe dehydration, develops. Without treatment, it can cause death. The incubation period of the disease can vary depending on the subjects of 1 to 5 days.

The government and international agencies working to improve the surveillance system and the establishment of a system allowing as well as possible to follow the evolution of the epidemic in real time. The large relief organizations on the ground agree that the country's health infrastructure and human resources are insufficient to cope with the epidemic.

Those for whom politics takes precedence over the crisis prevailing in the country, they can always be satisfied with the remarks of the highest UN official in the country, Edmond Mulet, who said that no discussions had held with government authorities or voters about a postponement of the election and that "there is no objective reason not to have elections on November 28. Technically, logistics, security, budget, everything is in place »....

See also:
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1626-haiti-epidemic-60-deaths-panic-in-gonaives.html
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1546-haiti-epidemic-projection-100-000-people-infected-government-strategy.html
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1625-haiti-epidemic-73-cases-of-cholera-confirmed-in-port-au-prince-1-dead.html
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1622-haiti-elections-citizens-divided-about-the-held-of-the-next-elections.html
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1620-haiti-tomas-relief-continue-to-organize.html
http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-1511-haiti-elections-voltaire-in-favor-of-postponing-the-elections-if.html

S/ HaitiLibre


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