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Haiti - Epidemic : 304 dead and 4.774 cases, true figures
27/10/2010 06:47:36

Haiti - Epidemic : 304 dead and 4.774 cases, true figures
HaïtiLibre had noted on 25 October, discrepancies between government figures and indisputable evidence on the ground. The figures seemed to us underestimated compared with the facts and official statements, which were intended to reassure, hid the truth of numbers. We published in our article of October 25, 2010 "Some reassuring words, contradictory figures" that given the number of people being presented to the hospitals (according to testimonies of doctors) since the beginning of the epidemic it is extremely probable that short-term (next assessment) the number of deaths ranges between 290 and 320 and the number of hospitalization should unfortunately exceed the 4.000.

The figures of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) United Nations, and WASH in the ground confirm today our estimates since their provisional toll is 304 dead and 4.774 confirmed cases and hospitalized (Note 1)

The Department of Public Health and Population (MSPP) with the support of partners such as PAHO and the CDC says for the Bas Artibonite and Bas plateau (Central Department) has provided the following assessments:

Saturday, October 23, 2010
2.364 people infected and hospitalized
194 people died

Sunday, October 24, 2010
3.115 people infected and hospitalized
253 people died

Monday, October 25, 2010
3.342 people infected and hospitalized
259 people died

Tuesday, October 26, 2010
3.612 people infected and hospitalized
284 people died

Thimothé Gabriel, the Director General of the Haitian Ministry of Public Health said "The trend is that it stabilizes" (!). [It takes faith to believe]...

However these figures are very different from those (only official) of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) United Nations, and WASH and its partners on the ground that the provisional assessment is:

People infected and hospitalized in Artibonite: 3.612 people (1)
People infected and hospitalized in Bas Plateau : 1,162 people (2)

Total of the hospitalized people : 4,774 people (3)

The Haitian government figures (3.612) are 32% lower than the confirmed cases and hospitalized (4.774)
The Haitian government figures (284) are 7% lower for those dying in hospital (304)

Note 1: Figures of OCHA does not include data for October 26, 2010 for Artibonite which can only increase the assessment and the difference between figures (hospitalization and death) of the Government and the reality on ground. Over other cases outside these areas are not so far taken into account in the available records

(1) Data collected from October 20 to 25 for the Artibonite
(2) Data collected from October 20 to 26 for Bas Plateau (Central Department)
(3) Excluding hospitalizations and / or death outside areas

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