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Haiti - FLASH : Jude Célestin in the lead, according to a new poll of Brides
15/10/2015 10:01:09

Wednesday, Frantz Fortunat, the Director of the Research Office in Computer Science and Economic and Social Development (BRIDES) presented a new poll conducted from October 5 to 11 through 119 constituencies in the country, on a sample of 11.991 people.

According this poll Jude Célestin presidential candidate under the banner "Alternative League for Progress and the Haiti Empowerment" (LAPEH) leads with 31.6% of voting intentions, Jovenel Moise (PHTK) came second with 12.7% of voting intentions, followed by Moïse Jean Charles "Pitit Dessalines" 10.6% and Maryse Narcisse" Fanmi Lavalas" 6.5%.

According to Frantz Fortunat, the difference of 18.9% between the candidates Célestin and Jovenel Moise, would be due to the unpopularity of Jovenel Moïse in the departments of West and Artibonite.

Download the results of BRIDES poll : https://www.haitilibre.com/docs/elections2015/sondages/Resultats-7eme--Sondage-du-5-au-12-oct-2015_avec-les-Mairies.pdf

Downloadthe electoral mapping : https://www.haitilibre.com/docs/elections2015/sondages/Cartographie-Electorale-et-Politique-d'Haiti_BRIDES_Sondage-du-5-au-11-octobre-2015.pdf

Note that the previous BRIDES poll https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-14733-haiti-elections-moise-jean-charles-2nd-to-the-presidential-brides-poll.html also gave Jude Célestin in the lead with 15.1% of the vote Download previous BRIDES poll (July 27 to 31): https://www.haitilibre.com/docs/brides-27-31juillet-2015.pdf So it would be if one relies on these two polls of an increase of 16.5% for the candidate of LAPEH in the intention to vote.

However, a second poll by the firm of studies "Sigma Stat Consulting Group" and Associates, conducted from October 6 to 10, 2015 gives Maryse Narcisse in first place with 35% of the vote, followed by Jude Célestin 27.4%, 27.4%, Jovenel Moïse 17.2% and Moïse Jean-Charles 12,5%.

Download the second Sigma poll : https://www.haitilibre.com/docs/elections2015/sondages/Sondage-2_Version-Finale-du-Rapport_13-Octobre.pdf

Recall that the previous poll Sigma, conducted 3 days after the public intervention of former President Jean Bertrand Aristide, also gave Maryse Narcisse leading with 27.9% of the vote

Recall that the previous poll Sigma, conducted 3 days after the public intervention of former President Jean Bertrand Aristide, also gave Maryse Narcisse leading with 27.9% of the vote https://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-15386-haiti-news-electoral-zapping.html

HL/ HaitiLibre