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Haiti - i-Votes : Results seventh week
Charles Henri Baker (1) remains in the race, at the top of the group but blows itself, as we noted in previous weeks (week 3 Baker gained +4.44%, week 4 +1.42%, week 5 +0.79% but started to lose ground from the week 6 -0.18% and -0.07% this semaine).
Mirlande Manigat (2) made a significant recovery (+0.99%) on Baker, while last week the candidate was to 11.01% of variance with Baker, she reduces the gap to 9.95%.
Léon Jeune (3) maintaining its position while recording a slight increase of i-Vote +0.13% this week increase the gap that separates it (+50%) from the candidate Martelly remains stable (Last week the gap Leon Jeune - Martelly was 0.29% Leon Jeune this week ahead of Martelly 0.42%).
The largest increase for a candidate in the first 4 positions is obtained by the candidate Manigat (+0.99%)
Pack of candidates:
Led by Baker, the pack of candidates is now split into 4 groups :
Group I : positions 2, 3 and 4 candidates clash in a difference of 1.32% for the intention of i-Vote(between 2nd and 4th position)
Group II : positions 5, 6 and 7 side by side, candidates compete in a 0.64% gap (between 5th and 7th postion). 8.44% separates the top candidate in this group (Céant Jean Henry), from the Group I.
Group III : positions 8, 9, 10, 11 candidates compete in a handkerchief, the difference is 0.39% (between 8th and 11th position). 1.94% separates the top candidate in this group (Jeune Jean Chavannes) from Group II.
Group IV : positions 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19 candidates are competing in a gap of 1.37% of intention of i-Vote (between 12nd and 19th position). 0.67% separates the top candidate in this group (Yvon Neptune) from Group III.
Overall, this 7th week: 1 candidate win seats and 2 lose
The winner :
Jude Celestin won 2 seats (from from the 11th to 9th position) due to a gain of +0.13% in the interntion od i-Vote in conjunction with the simultaneous decline in intentions of i-Vote for Charles Eric Smarcki (-0.10%) and Abellard Axan D’elson (-0.02%)
The losers :
Charles Eric Smarcki, lost 1 seat (from the 9th to 10th position) due to lower -0.10% in the intention of i-Vote and gain of Jude Celestin which downgrades.
Axan D’Elson Abellard lost 1 seat (from 10th to 11th position) due mainly to gain of Jude Celestin which downgrades (the decline of intention of i-Vote for this candidate is insignificant -0.02%). Note that the candidate Abellard keeps losing seats (-1 in week 2, -1 in week 3, -1 Week 6 and -1 Week 7. Either a loss of 4 seats from the first week of i-Vote .
This week, the white vote is 3.49%. The white vote (vote blanc) is used by Internet users to express their disagreement the elections of November 28, 2010 or that none the candidates is appropriate to them. Nothing is played. The election campaign began Friday, Oct. 15, candidates will therefore increase their intervention in the media and publicize their programs and commitments (we hope) that could influence the intentions of i-Vote. There are still 5 weeks (5 other results) that could still see many changes of positions in the standings, the gaps for many candidates is very low.
Get involved and i-Vote for the candidate of your choice. Next results Sunday, October 24, 2010
For i-vote :
Recall that the HaitiLibre.com i-Vote office, lets you vote for the candidate of your choice. I-Vote record the tendency of Internet users, it is not an official vote. They measure the popularity of a candidate or his party, his ability to mobilize and relevance of the candidate, his commitments and his program. You can i-vote once per 24 hours for the candidate of your choice (but nothing prevents you to vote once every day for your candidate or for another if you change allegiance).
Note that if the majority of candidates (12) have released their bio or CV (see i-Vote, available links under the picture of the candidates) some are slow to do so for various reasons : the candidates do not answer our requests, information is not available or exists only in English (!!). Concerning the program guidelines, very little forwarded them to us (4), for reasons similar to those outlined above. We recall that in the electoral process candidates have a duty to inform voters about their skills and outline their programs, that of the media is tpo contributing to the dissemination of this information with the public.
Every Sunday we will publish the i-Vote results on the website HaïtiLibre.com with trends compared to previous scores (upward or downward). I-Votes are cumulative from August 28 to November 21, 2010 inclusive, date of publication of our latest results (one week before the electoral deadline of November 28th, 2010).
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